Vehicle density and velocity estimation on highways for on-ramp metering control

A scheme for vehicle density and velocity estimation in a stretch of highway based on a modified cell transmission model [C. F. Daganzo, Transportation Research, Part B, 28B(4),269–287, 1994. Elsevier is presented. The scheme is intended for use with on-ramp metering control algorithms, providing local knowledge of densities and velocities that is helpful to improve on-ramp metering control performance. Estimation of density is obtained by nonlinear estimators, while velocity estimation is obtained by gradient algorithms. There is one density–velocity estimator for free traffic flow and other for congested traffic flow. Both estimator schemes work in parallel. The final estimation of density and velocity results from a convex combination of the predictions of the two estimators. This combination depends on occupancy or density measurements at the boundaries of the stretch and is produced by a fuzzy inference system. Stability and convergence of the density and velocity estimation scheme is proved by Lyapunov based techniques. Simulation results comparing measured and estimated traffic data are presented. They confirm good performance of the estimators. Research sponsored by grants UNAM PAPIIT IN110403 and CONACYT 47583.     

Scale-Free Properties in Traffic System

In this work, we propose a new model of evolution networks, which is based on the evolution of the traffic flow. In our method, the network growth does not take into account preferential attachment, and the attachment of new node is independent of the degree of nodes. Our aim is that employing the theory of evolution network, we give a further understanding about the dynamical evolution of the traffic flow. We investigate the probability distributions and scaling properties of the proposed model. The simulation results indicate that in the proposed model, the distribution of the output connections can be well described by scale-free distribution. Moreover, the distribution of the connections is largely related to the traffic flow states, such as the exponential distribution (i.e., the scale-free distribution) and random distribution etc.     

主成分分析法在产业关联度研究中的应用

在产业经济学中，影响力系数和感应度系数是常用的评价产业部门拉动作用和推动作用的方法。本文针对影响力系数和感应度系数的缺陷，采用主成分分析法对投入产出表中的完全消耗系数进行研究，分析产业关联度，以确定国民经济主导产业。最后以中国1997年投入产出表为例进行了分析。结果表明，本方法更加符合实际，具有重要的参考价值。     

基于BP网络分类器的交通标志识别

针对中国全部3大类116个交通标志,即禁令标志、指示标志、警告标志,用BP网络实现分类功能.实验中使用了3种测试集,即加高斯噪声、水平扭曲和日本交通标志实景图,对BP网络的分类性能进行了测试.实验结果表明:用BP网络实现交通标志粗分类功能的效果是比较理想的,对交通标志的颜色失真和形状失真均具有较好的容错性和鲁棒性.     

宁波港船舶交通管理系统(VTS)

通过对宁波港的交通环境，现有VTS系统及港口发展的趋势研究，提出了改善宁波港通航环境，建立和完善VTS系统的有效措施。     

在有限执行假设下对最优契约的扩展模型研究

本文运用违约保证金条款改进了代理人事前报酬契约；在契约有限执行的假设下，扩展了代理人的逆向选择模型，并运用扩展逆向选择模型分析了改进后的最优报酬契约。文章指出，改进后的最优报酬契约严格优于委托人为防范代理人违约而被迫采用的非负参与性约束条件下的最优报酬契约。     

Fixed Point Theorems on Product Topological Spaces and Applications

A new collectively fixed point theorem for a family of set-valued mappings defined on product spaces of non-compact topological spaces without linear structure is proved and some special cases are also discussed. As applications, some non-empty intersection theorems of sets with convex sections and equilibrium existence theorem of abstract economies are obtained under much weaker assumptions. Our results includes a number of known results as many special cases.     

Performance of noise barriers with various edge shapes and acoustical conditions

The performances of barriers having different shapes and surface conditions were tested using the boundary element method in a well-controlled environment. The heights and widths of the barriers were standardized and the insertion losses for six receiver positions were averaged and compared. Figures displaying the results allow for straightforward barrier performance estimation. It was shown that absorbing and soft edges significantly improve the efficiency of the barrier, but configuration modifications provide only a slight improvement. The soft T-shaped barrier produces the highest performance. A 3 m high T-shaped barrier provides the same performance as a 10 m high plain barrier. The spectral efficiency was also investigated. The insertion loss spectra for the absorbing and the soft barriers exhibit a similar shape, but the rigid barrier differs from these two.     

紧急输送策略的线性规划模型

以美国南弗洛里达州递避飓风袭击为例建立了紧急输送情况下的线性规划模型。其中具体建立了以SCEPD(美国南弗洛里达州紧急情况预防部门)提出的公路反向，地区分块撤离，使用小路等三个最受人们关注的策略的模型。模型的灵敏度分析能很好地解释建立更多的临时避难所、限制车辆等策略对撤离的影响。在相近的环境下，中模型解得的结果很接近官方预测的结果，并且本的模型能对更广泛的情况进行分析．可给SCEPD提供一定参考。     

含交易成本的分散投资利润研究

投资理论告诉人们，应尽量使投资分散化．但许多投资在实际投资中却常常违背这一原则．本从一个调面分析在一个等均值和有一个无风险资产的均方世界里，交易成本的存在，会使投资产生很强的违背分散化原则的动机。